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Monthly Archives: August 2006

Landfall Brunswick County

Ernesto is right on the edge of hurricane strength as it moves closer to the NC coast. WRAL and WILM are covering this live. Lastest NHC advisory. Updates later.
With the storm picking up strength and projected rainfall amounts ranging from around 3-5 inches in the Triangle and more than 8 inches east of that, the [...]

Tropical Storm Ernesto

Update: The storm has grown in intensity and shifted east with landfall now a little farther up the coast. Winds are approaching hurricane strength and a hurricane watch is on. NHC 2 p.m. advisory.
Original post: Ernesto is still pretty much on track for a Thursday night landfall along the S.C. coast. The storm will [...]

Hurricane watch

Update: Not Ernesto’s fault exactly, but there sure is a lot of unstable air around here. I’ve never seen so many lightning strikes. As for Ernesto, still on track for a landfall Thursday night around the Francis Marion National Forest in S.C. and then a trip north through the Piedmont Friday morning.

Update: Hurricane watch discontinued [...]

Somewhere between I-40 and I-85 in 72 hrs

That’s what the NHC is where Ernesto is headed—well maybe. Things change, of course, and as retiring NHC director Max Mayfield has said he wants on his gravestone:
DON’T FOCUS ON THE CENTER BLACK LINE! Pay attention to the cone of probability when looking at hurricane forecast tracks.
So you people in the cone should be prepared [...]

Three days out

With new info from the Hurricane Hunters (Wunderground blog notes their thanks to the government of Cuba for letting them fly over the coast), models are all converging—sort of— to give us a pretty good picture of Ernesto’s path. While Florida may not see a Cat 1 hurricane there’s a decent chance we will. Landfall [...]

Ernesto four days away from the Carolinas

Several forecast models project that Tropical Storm Ernsest, now crossing southern Cuba, will veer through Florida and then head out into the Atlantic where it will gather strength before making landfall in South Carolina. Some show it just skirting the coast.
Lots of ifs, but with shear and water temp conditions favorable for storms to blow [...]

First Hurricane of 2006

Ernesto, which became a Category 1 hurricane at 5:04 a.m. today, is over Hati and rapidly intensifying. E could become a major hurricane so pay attention. The track right now has it headed for the Gulf Coast of Florida in three or four days.
Latest NHC discussion.
Here’s the latest on this storm, which is haded for [...]