Thursday, September 25, 2008
A little bit subtropical, a little tropical.
And kicking up the coast and well inland.
FPS buoy has the numbers.
Pretty windy here in the Piedmont.
Wunder:
A powerful extratropical storm (94L) with some tropical characteristics is bringing tropical storm-like conditions to the waters just offshore the U.S. coast, from South Carolina to Virginia. QuikSCAT data from this morning and last night (Figure 1) show that tropical storm-force winds of 40-50 mph cover a 400-mile swath of ocean just offshore the North Carolina coast.
Saturday, August 16, 2008
Tropical Storm Fay to become a hurricane.
Via Reuters:
Despite the mountainous terrain of Haiti, which had been expected to hamper the storm’s development, Fay held together quite well overnight, the Miami-based hurricane center said.
The storm’s forecast track had also shifted a little to the south and west, meaning it would spend more time than initially expected over the warm waters that provide tropical cyclones with fuel, and it was now expected to strengthen into a hurricane as it approached the southern Cuban coast.
OK, that was fast.
Tropical Storm Cristobal forms off the Carolinas coast.
You want to read this;
And pay a virtual visit to BUOY 41004
Not something you want to see just off the coast — a rapidly organizing tropical depression.
Masters:
None of the models forecast that TD 3 will intensify beyond a 50 mph tropical storm, due to the relatively cool water temperatures, moderate wind shear, and the presence of dry air nearby. I think TD 3 is organizing a bit more than the models are expecting, and has a 50% chance of becoming a 50 mph tropical storm by Monday.
National Weather Service
Bertha is now a hurricane.
If you recall, in 1996 Hurricane Bertha hit the lower NC coast and did some pretty nasty damage. Drove down the day after and there was a lot of erosion.
She cleared the way, so to speak, for her big sister — Hurricane Fran.
Prediction models for Bertha 08 are unclear, but we should keep an eye out.
Dr. Jeff explains.
Looks like the second tropical storm of the season — Bertha — is chugging along.
Here’s the five day forecast map
And Dr. Jeff’s take
Bertha’s at 25° West longitude is the farthest east a tropical storm has ever formed in the Atlantic so early in the season.
He also notes that it is likely that this means an active season.
Here’s the latest NWS advisory
North Carolina State University researchers offer their predictions for the season:
Lian Xie, a professor in the Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at N.C. State, and graduate student Elinor Keith said Wednesday that their forecasts call for 13 to 15 named storms in the Atlantic Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea. Six to eight of the storms could become hurricanes, they said.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
The southeast coast of the U.S. could see one or two named storms make landfall, and there is a better than 50 percent chance that at least one of the storms will be a hurricane, Xie said.
